The latest reading, 2.78% for 15 Oct 2026, was down 0.06 points from the previous day. A year earlier it was 1.75%.
Projection
No statistical model we tested has beaten a simple no-change assumption on this series over the past 49 weeks of backtests, so gov.house does not publish a projection line here. What the history does tell us is how far the series usually moves:
| Over the next | Usual move (4 in 5 cases) | Range from today's 2.78 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 weeks | ±0.22 | 2.56 to 3.00 |
| 8 weeks | ±0.31 | 2.47 to 3.09 |
| 13 weeks | ±0.40 | 2.38 to 3.18 |
A statistical projection, not a prediction of policy and not investment advice. How the projections work.
About this data
Yield on 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS): the inflation-adjusted cost of long-term federal borrowing, via FRED.
What it measures
The yield on 10-year TIPS, whose principal rises with consumer prices. It is the return investors demand above inflation, so it is often called the real interest rate.
Why it matters
Real yields are the truest measure of how tight financial conditions are. High real yields raise the cost of servicing federal debt in real terms and weigh on housing, business investment and asset prices.
gov.house refreshes this page automatically from the official source twice a day. Figures are shown as published; recent values can be revised by the source agency.
Latest values
| Date | 10-year TIPS yield |
|---|---|
| 15 OCT 2026 | 2.78 |
| 14 OCT 2026 | 2.84 |
| 13 OCT 2026 | 2.88 |
| 09 OCT 2026 | 2.91 |
| 08 OCT 2026 | 2.87 |
| 07 OCT 2026 | 2.92 |
| 06 OCT 2026 | 2.91 |
| 05 OCT 2026 | 2.95 |
| 02 OCT 2026 | 2.92 |
| 01 OCT 2026 | 2.88 |
| 30 SEP 2026 | 2.93 |
| 29 SEP 2026 | 2.91 |