The latest reading, 29,000 for Sep 2026, was down 104,000 from the previous month. A year earlier it was 76,000.
Projection
gov.house's statistical projection for this series, with the range that has contained about 80% of outcomes in our backtests. In those backtests it was 10% more accurate than assuming no change.
| Horizon | Period | Monthly change in nonfarm payrolls | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | OCT 2026 | 45 | -62 to 152 |
| 3 months | DEC 2026 | 60 | -73 to 193 |
| 6 months | MAR 2027 | 54 | -99 to 207 |
Backtest: 42 rolling forecast origins. Average miss at 6 months: 99.2 (no-change: 103.8).
A statistical projection, not a prediction of policy and not investment advice. How the projections work.
About this data
Month-over-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted, from the BLS establishment survey. Recent months are revised in later reports.
What it measures
How many jobs US employers added or cut in a month, from a survey of about 120,000 businesses and government agencies.
Why it matters
It is the headline number of the monthly jobs report and moves markets more than almost any other release. The two previous months are revised each time, and an annual benchmark revision can shift the total by hundreds of thousands.
gov.house refreshes this page automatically from the official source twice a day. Figures are shown as published; recent values can be revised by the source agency.
Latest values
| Date | Monthly change in nonfarm payrolls |
|---|---|
| SEP 2026 | 29 |
| AUG 2026 | 133 |
| JUL 2026 | -10 |
| JUN 2026 | 31 |
| MAY 2026 | 63 |
| APR 2026 | 148 |
| MAR 2026 | 214 |
| FEB 2026 | -156 |
| JAN 2026 | 160 |
| DEC 2025 | -17 |
| NOV 2025 | 41 |
| OCT 2025 | -140 |